Monday, December 6, 2010

Why Jagan will be more successful than Chiru in Andhra Politics

Well its been a long time since I wrote a blog.The last time I wrote,I tried my hand in predicting the outcome of the IPL matches and the teams involved in it.This time I am trying to write about the politics of Andhrapradesh.So here it goes..
From the day Jagan started his Odarpu Yatra,I like innumerable people from AP had predicted this outcome of Jagan resigning on his own from Congress party.
On the last weekend, I was just thinking about Jagan phenomenon and the impact that it is going to have on AP Politics;One thought struck my mind and it was about our Chiru and the way he entered the politics.It was with great hype and hoopla he came into politics,even before taking the baby steps he had thought(or was made to think of)that he is the next CM of AP.But he came to realise of late that dancing to the tunes of some masala telugu songs is better than winning in assembly elections.Leave elections, he does not even know what is the real factor required to get recognised or to win the elections;It is not that I know,but if you carefully observe any person who has made his mark in the politics,it clearly shows that they follow certain hard core rules that enable them to be successful.
So coming back to the topic of our discussion,lets do a comparison study of Jagan and Chiru and lets see why my prediction might become true

1.Two years ago, matinee idol mega star Chiranjeevi entered the state politics with a bang by launching a new political party – Praja Rajyam Party.

2.Two years later, another new political party is all set to be launched in the state by rebel leader and former Kadapa MP Y S Jaganmohan Reddy. Like Chiranjeevi, he is also starting from scratch and aiming at the hot seat.

So, what is the difference between Chiranjeevi and Jagan? This question is naturally stirring the minds of political analysts. Though Chiranjeevi had a lot of charisma, he could not project any alternative political agenda before the people. As a result, he could not convert his charisma into votes. So what charisma does Jagan has and how is he gonna convert that to garner votes?

Secondly, Chiranjeevi had totally neglected on building the party’s organization from grass-root level to the state-level. Even now, he does not have a structured party organization. But, Jagan is going very cautiously and carefully. He is planning to build up a strong cadre base before taking a plunge into electoral battle. That is why he is not in a hurry to pull down the present government.This is what I like about Jagan, he seems to be very patient getting the feedback from nook and corner of the state, studying the telangana demand etc so that he is in a better position to set his agenda;When someone asked Chiru on why is he coming to Politics,he told that he wants to provide Saamajika Nyaayam,meaning of which he also dont know;

Chiru does not have any knowledge of any issue that is burning the state,this is where the grass root workers helps you in appraising the situation.if you forget about this main funda,then forget the politics.Because people communication,interaction and co-operation is required in any field,let it be politics,business as no one became successful just by his name,fame or hardwork in a field where the collective effort is required for success,he/she became so successful because they had the ability in maintaining the relationships with the people,with that he can build trust and with trust everything is possible.For eg:See Narendra Modi,Nitish Kumar and what they have acheived

And thirdly, when Chiranjeevi launched the PRP, there was no political vacuum in the state as the YSR factor was very strong and he literally gave everything for free,so why would a person vote other political party in that case. There was little space for the PRP in the state politics. But now, there is a complete political chaos in the state. The Congress is in total disarray, while the TDP is in a state of confusion. The parties are virtually divided on regional lines, thanks to the Telangana issue. And this is where Jagan has the chance to capitalize on the situation!

If Chiru and his master minds had concentrated on strengthening the party base without worrying about the result of elections,then I am sure he would have been in a better position today to dictate the state politics.

Jagan also has a TV channel and a largely circulated newspaper to his credit that can boost his image to any extent and also age is on Jagans side that might just prove costly to Chirus aspirations of coming to power.Hence I foresee a situation of PRP getting merged into Congress and Chiru becoming a cabinet minister one fine future day(if he sets aside his inflated ego).Please drop the dream of CM gaddhi Mr Konidela Shivashankar prasad as your time has gone and let the youngsters and the hardworking people take over now. Political drama is not like cinema, you can act only for three hours in front of camera,but when it comes to real life ,you need to act 365 days and 24/7,as I see that capacity in Jagan, I presume he would atleast win more seats than PRP,becoming CM will depend on his ability to carry forward his fathers legacy,determination and hardwork.